Paul in FIRST Place

[dicktater]

NY Times Projects Ron Paul As Clear Favorite To Win Iowa
Highly accurate collated figures show Congressman trouncing Romney & Gingrich
Paul Joseph Watson
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
http://www.infowars.com/ny-times-projec ... owa/print/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

A New York Times Iowa primary projection, using figures collated from all the latest poll results and surveys, shows that Ron Paul is the clear favorite to win the crucial first Republican primary set to take place in just 13 days time.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVIbRA5PZu0" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

“These forecasts are formulated from an average of recent surveys, with adjustments made to account for a polling firm’s accuracy, freshness of a poll and each candidate’s momentum,” reports the NY Times, noting that the method “improves accuracy” of the result.

The current figures show Ron Paul’s chance of winning the Iowa primary at 49 per cent, with Romney in second at 27 per cent and Gingrich in third at 15.5 per cent.The numbers are collated from ten different polls that were conducted over the course of the last three weeks, including surveys undertaken by Rasmussen, PPP and InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research. The results underscore how Paul has surged into first position over the last ten days, having been placed third at the start of the month.

The two most recent polls in Iowa have both found that Ron Paul is the current frontrunner in the crucial first primary state.The results of a Iowa State University poll released today reported Paul in the lead with 27.5 percent of 333 likely caucus-goers, with Gingrich in second at 25.3 percent and Romney in third with 17.5 percent.A survey released Sunday nightconducted by Public Policy Polling showed Ron Paul in first place ahead of Romney in second and Gingrich in third, whose campaign was described as “imploding”.

A recent CNN report also entertained the strong possibility that Paul could take Iowa, noting that his campaign was far more aggressive than Mitt Romney’s in that Paul’s campaign office was a “hive of activity,” whereas Romney’s was still closed at mid-morning.

In addition, another new poll conducted by CNN / ORC released today finds that Ron Paul is the strongest GOP candidate when it comes to a hypothetical head to head with Barack Obama, firmly debunking the establishment Republican talking point than a Ron Paul win would ensure Barack Obama’s re-election.

In a direct head to head with Obama, Paul does better than all of his GOP rivals in a wide and diverse range of population categories, including males; persons ages 18 to 34; persons under 50 years of age; persons earning less than $50k per year; persons who have attended college; crossover Democrats; self-identified liberals; self-described moderates; residents of the Northeast and Midwest geographic regions; and those residing in urban areas.

[georgesmiley]

not any longer (bah)

i hope not

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_ ... can_caucus

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and Texas Congressman Ron Paul are leading the pack in Iowa with just two weeks to go until Caucus Day. But large numbers of voters remain uncommitted and lots could change between now and January 3.

The new Rasmussen Reports survey of Iowa caucus participants shows Romney on top with 25% of the vote followed by Paul at 20% and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 17%. Texas Governor Rick Perry and former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, both at 10%, are the only other candidates in double-digits. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann earns six percent (6%), former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman four percent (4%), while one percent (1%) prefer some other candidate and eight percent (8%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This poll reflects the highest level of support yet measured for Romney and Paul. It’s also by far the best result yet for Santorum who on Tuesday received an endorsement from Bob Vander Plaats, a major social conservative leader in Iowa. While the Evangelical Christian vote is very divided at this time, Santorum now picks up 19% of it, more than any other candidate. Romney is close behind at 18%.

Among those who say they are certain to participate in the caucus, Romney and Paul are essentially even. As always in a caucus, the organizational effort to get identified supporters to show up on January 3 is likely to determine the outcome. Additionally, only 46% of Iowa caucus goers are certain of their vote and say they won’t change their mind in the next two weeks.

Romney leads with Gingrich in second among those who consider themselves Republicans. Paul has a wide lead among non-Republicans who are likely to participate in the caucuses.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Iowa survey of 750 Likely Republican Caucus Participants was conducted on December 19, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports survey

[Apricot]

So they "accidentally" put Romney's name by Paul's picture. Gives new meaning to 'margin of error'.
Makes you wonder if Paul might not have actually taken first with that kind of monkey business taking place.

[Ry]

it lets you know the MSM is lying

[Ed]

[dicktater]

Good News. But, what's wrong with New Hampshire. No one should ever lead there but Ron Paul. The state motto is "Live Free or Die". You'd think they might understand what that means.

Paul rises in New Hampshsire poll
The Boston Globe
December 25, 2011

Newt Gingrich’s surge has slowed and Ron Paul has gained momentum, but Mitt Romney remains the clear front-runner in New Hampshire with a little more than two weeks until the nation’s first primary, according to a new Boston Globe poll.

Romney has the support of 39 percent of the state’s likely Republican voters, a drop of 3 percentage points since last month but a strong indication he is weathering Gingrich’s national comeback in a state vital to his campaign.

In the closely watched contest for second place, Gingrich and Paul are tied with 17 percent each, just ahead of Jon Huntsman, who has the support of 11 percent of likely Republican voters.

Read more:
http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/nation/ ... story.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

[Ry]

It is going to be hard to win anywhere in the North East with so many union parasites there.

[Int'l man of mystery]

What is going to be done to circumvent the very real potential for vote fraud in the Republican primaries this time?

I have read about the idea of keeping independent records of vote tallies being suggested.

[general hoke]

So it looks like Ron Paul will win or place 2nd in Iowa. No matter what the press will ignore him and focus on NH. How is Paul doing in NH this time around? A first or 2nd place there would be great

[dicktater]

What is going to be done to circumvent the very real potential for vote fraud in the Republican primaries this time?

I have read about the idea of keeping independent records of vote tallies being suggested.

What's going to be done to facilitate vote fraud? Why, bring in Occupy and other scary "activist/hacktivist movements" to create an excuse to have the vote-counting moved to an 'undisclosed location', of course:

Iowa GOP moving vote-count to 'undisclosed location'
12/27/11 7:15 PM EST
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-hab ... 08812.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Threats to disrupt the Iowa Republican caucuses next week have prompted state GOP officials to move the vote tabulation to an "undisclosed location," POLITICO has learned.

The state party has not yet told the campaigns exactly where the returns will be added up, only that it will be off-site from the Iowa GOP's Des Moines headquarters. The 2008 caucus results were tabulated at the state party offices, which sit just a few blocks from the state capitol.

Activist groups including the Occupy movement have indicated that they'll attempt to interrupt rallies in the closing days before next Tuesday's caucuses.

The AP reported today that Occupy is making plans to even attend some caucuses and vote "no preference," but not disturb the voting process.

But Iowa Republicans are also bracing for other threats, sources say, including hacking.

Iowa GOP Chair Matt Strawn wouldn't comment on the plan to move the vote-counting except to say they're increasing security measures.

"The Iowa GOP is taking additional safeguards to ensure the Caucus results are tabulated and reported to the public in an accurate and timely manner," Strawn said. "We are not commenting on specific security procedures."